Your smartwatch says your VO₂ max dropped. But your workouts feel strong and your endurance is improving. The numbers don't match reality.
This is rarely a training problem, it’s a measurement problem.
Wearable devices, walking tests, and running tests estimate VO2 max in fundamentally different ways. The same person can get conflicting values depending on the test, and understanding why helps you choose the measurement approach that matches your goals.
Smartwatch VO₂-max estimates are calculated from the relationship between pace and heart rate during exercise. Because heart rate is the key input in these calculations, even modest measurement errors can turn into notable differences in estimated VO₂ max.
This highlights the challenge of producing reliable fitness estimates under variable, real-world training conditions.

These limitations help explain why smartwatch estimates, field tests, and laboratory measurements can all produce different results for the same person.
The three options below offer different strengths and trade-offs depending on your current fitness level and what matters most to you right now.
Use a smartwatch estimate if all of these apply:
Use the Rockport Walk Test if all of these apply:
Complete the Rockport Walk Test, calculate your VO₂ max →
Use the Cooper Test if all of these apply:
Learn how to run the Cooper Test and estimate your VO₂ max →
Most guidance on VO₂ max helps you choose a measurement method—lab testing, field tests, or smartwatch estimates—by weighing accuracy, cost, and accessibility. That’s a useful starting point, and different options make sense for different goals and constraints.
The next practical step is matching the method to how you currently train. A test that fits your routine produces a baseline you can repeat and trust, rather than one that adds noise or pressure.
The short assessment below screens your current activity pattern and fitness level, then recommends the VO₂ max test that best fits your starting point.
Get a Personalized VO₂ Max Test Recommendation + See Your Cardio Profile.
3 questions to establish your cardio profile
Your activity score shows how much and how often you train. A VO₂ max test shows how efficiently your heart, lungs, and muscles support that work. Together, they create a complete picture—how much you do and how efficiently your system supports it—for smarter training and bigger health gains.
Your activity snapshot is a starting point. Now build your complete profile:
Without knowing your precise readiness zone, you might be wasting 60% of your cardio effort
You've been consistent with cardio but stopped seeing improvements. Your body adapted, but you're still training like a beginner.
High-intensity workouts leave you exhausted for days. You're pushing beyond your recovery capacity, actually damaging progress.
Training without knowing your zone is like exercising blindfolded. You need personalized targets for maximum efficiency.
Elite athletes use zone-based training. Now you can access the same methodology.
Quick baseline to establish your starting zone and identify focus areas
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Complete cardio plan with heart rate targets, recovery guidelines, and progression strategies
VO₂ max optimization, fitness age calculation, and advanced periodization techniques
These questions address common points of confusion around VO₂ max measurement, including smartwatch estimates, field tests, and how to choose the right method for your routine.
What if I'm between two testing categories?
Start with the easier option. Rockport provides reliable baseline data, and you can progress to a Cooper test later once you've confirmed your cardiovascular readiness. If you're a runner but concerned about maximum effort, another valid approach is a submaximal Cooper test. Complete the 1.5-mile or 12-minute run, and calculate your VO2 max. If your submaximal effort puts you in the age-group category that matches your goal, you know your cardio training is on track.
Why did my watch VO₂ max drop during my hardest training?
During intense efforts, heart-rate sensors on smart watches can lose the signal. Rapid arm movement, stop-and-go effort, and sensor contact issues produce heart-rate readings that drop 20-30 bpm or more from the expected level. When your heart-rate data is off, the VO₂ max estimate becomes unreliable. If you need a VO₂ max score during a heavy training period, a field test under controlled conditions will give you a more reliable baseline.
How accurate is the Rockport Walk Test?
The Rockport test shows typical error around 4-5 ml/kg/min compared to laboratory VO₂ max in the non-athlete, working-age adult population it was designed for. Accuracy is strong when you walk briskly and continuously and measure your heart rate accurately after the test. Accuracy decreases in highly trained athletes and in older or very sedentary groups where the original VO2 max equations may not fit as well.
How accurate is the Cooper Run Test?
The Cooper 12-minute run and 1.5-mile run show typical individual error of 3-6 ml/kg/min. Accuracy depends on producing a genuine best performance, which requires adequate warm-up, even pacing, and running-specific fitness. The test works best for fit adults who can tolerate a near-maximal effort. For people unable to perform a high-end effort safely, the Rockport test is usually more appropriate.
How accurate are smartwatch VO₂ max estimates?
Smartwatch estimates show mean errors of 5-8 ml/kg/min compared to lab testing, with percentage errors around 10-15%. But individual errors can exceed ±10-15 ml/kg/min depending on workout conditions, heart-rate sensor accuracy, and the watch algorithm. Accuracy is highest during steady, moderate-intensity exercise with good sensor contact. It decreases significantly during variable-intensity training, running with high arm motion, or other conditions that disrupt heart-rate readings.
Watches can track trends over time for users who train moderately, but field tests are better suited for establishing a reproducible fitness baseline. Although average error ranges may overlap, smartwatch error fluctuates with training conditions, while field test error is more stable.

About the author
Rob Cowell, PT, the founder of Why I Exercise (est. 2009), is a physical therapist with 29 years of clinical experience. He specializes in evidence-based fitness, movement coaching, and long-term conditioning, and he maintains high personal fitness through running, calisthenics, and beach volleyball.
Heart-Rate Sensor Accuracy by Exercise Condition
The heart-rate error ranges in this article reflect findings from validation studies of wrist-based optical sensors across different exercise intensities and conditions. Under controlled, steady-state exercise, wrist-worn devices typically show errors of 2-8 bpm. During variable-intensity training or activities with substantial arm motion, errors commonly increase to 5-15+ bpm. Poor sensor placement or signal loss can cause transient errors exceeding 20 bpm, making derived VO₂ max estimates unreliable.
Shcherbina, A., Mattsson, C.M., et al (2017). Accuracy in Wrist-Worn, Sensor-Based Measurements of Heart Rate and Energy Expenditure in a Diverse Cohort. Journal of Personalized Medicine, 7(2). https://doi.org/10.3390/jpm7020003
Bent, B., Goldstein, B.A., et al (2020). Investigating sources of inaccuracy in wearable optical heart rate sensors. npj Digital Medicine, 3(18). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41746-020-0226-6
Düking, P., Fuss, F.K., et al (2020). Wrist-Worn Wearables for Monitoring Heart Rate and Energy Expenditure While Sitting or Performing Light-to-Vigorous Physical Activity: Validation Study. JMIR mHealth and uHealth, 8(5). https://doi.org/10.2196/16716
Vermunicht, P., Buyck, C., et al (2025). Optimization and pre-use suitability selection for wrist photoplethysmography-based heart rate monitoring in patients with cardiac disease. European Heart Journal - Digital Health, 6(5), 1024-1035. https://doi.org/10.1093/ehjdh/ztaf084
Smartwatch VO₂ Max Estimation Accuracy
Accuracy ranges for smartwatch VO₂ max estimates cited in this article are based on validation studies comparing wearable device outputs with laboratory measurements.
Lambe, R., O'Grady, B., et al (2025). Investigating the accuracy of Apple Watch VO2 max measurements: A validation study. PLOS One, 20. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0323741
Jamieson, A., Jones, S., et al (2024). Comparison between Smartwatch-Derived and CPET-Measured VO2Max. Computing in Cardiology Conference (CinC). https://doi.org/10.22489/cinc.2024.352
Field Test Validation
Rockport Walk Test accuracy estimates are based on the original validation and subsequent independent replications using the same protocol. Across studies, typical error remains in the ~4–6 ml/kg/min range when the test is performed as designed.
Kline, G.M., Porcari, J.P., et al (1987). Estimation of VO2max from a one-mile track walk, gender, age, and body weight. Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise, 19(3), 253-9. PMID: 3600239
Dolgener, F.A., Hensley, L.D., et al (1994). Validation of the Rockport Fitness Walking Test in college males and females. Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport, 65(2), 152-8. https://doi.org/10.1080/02701367.1994.10607610
Grant, S., Corbett, K., et al (1995). A comparison of methods of predicting maximum oxygen uptake. British Journal of Sports Medicine, 29, 147-152. https://doi.org/10.1136/bjsm.29.3.147
Roeykens, J., Rys, K., et al (2001). Does the Cooper Test Accurately Predict the VO2max? Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise, 33(5), S302.
Penry, J., Wilcox, A., et al (2011). Validity and Reliability Analysis of Cooper's 12-Minute Run and the Multistage Shuttle Run in Healthy Adults. Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research, 25, 597-605. https://doi.org/10.1519/jsc.0b013e3181cc2423